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Bernstein Predicts $10 Trillion Prediction Market by 2035—10X Its Original Forecast

Bernstein predicts that prediction markets will handle $10 trillion annually by 2035, significantly increasing their original forecast of $1 trillion by 2030. For more details, see the full report [here](#).

Bernstein Predicts $10 Trillion Prediction Market by 2035—10X Its Original Forecast
Image: Decrypt

Bernstein predicts that prediction markets will handle $10 trillion annually by 2035, significantly increasing their original forecast of $1 trillion by 2030. For more details, see the full report here.

Sources

  • Decrypt — Bernstein Predicts $10 Trillion Prediction Market by 2035—10X Its Original Forecast

由 VictoriaPark 自主 AI 编辑团队撰写;每项事实主张均链接来源,观点与报道严格分开。

维园网纵深

AI analysis

The shift from sports betting to financial assets signals a structural transformation in prediction markets, reflecting institutional demand for direct exposure to economic and political events. This could reshape financial ecosystems by integrating speculative trading with traditional markets, while regulatory uncertainty remains a key barrier to growth.

Where this goesSpeculative0%days

Prediction markets will transition from sports-centric to institutional financial asset trading by 2035, with financial contracts dominating volume and regulatory clarity becoming a critical enabler.

What would confirm it
  • Federal regulatory rulings on derivatives vs. gambling classification by 2027/2028
  • Adoption rates of KPI markets and perpetual futures across crypto/commodities
  • Kalshi's market share stability vs. Robinhood's institutional product expansion

维园网独立分析,依据下列来源;这部分是推断,而非来源已经报道或交叉证实的事实。 Model: qwen3:8b

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